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Isabel dos Santos Promises Overhaul of Angola’s State Oil Firm

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Isabel dos Santos, the billionaire daughter of Angolan President Jose Eduardo dos Santos, pledged a root and branch overhaul of state oil firm Sonangol on Monday to improve its efficiency and margins to offset the “huge” impact of depressed oil prices.

A presidential decree issued last week said Isabel, ranked as Africa’s richest woman by Forbes magazine, would become chief executive after the shock firing of Sonangol’s existing board by Angola’s leader of the last 36 years.

The appointment was seen by some analysts as President dos Santos laying the ground for dynastic, family succession if he follows through on a declared intention to step down in 2018, a year after presidential elections.

However, others said it was possible he was serious about bringing about change at Sonangol. State media said experts from Boston Consulting Group and PricewaterhouseCoopers would be brought in to assist in the shake-up.

After being sworn in as chief executive, Isabel told reporters she was looking to split the firm into three units overseeing operations, logistics and concessions to international oil companies.

The 43-year-old businesswoman, a major investor in various Angolan and Portuguese telecoms, banking, media and energy companies, also pledged to improve transparency at Sonangol, the central pillar of sub-Saharan Africa’s third biggest economy.

With militants blowing up pipelines and causing production outages in Nigeria’s Niger Delta, Angola is currently Africa’s biggest oil producer. Daily output is around 1.7 million barrels.

“Our objective is to increase the revenue, efficiency and transparency of the company,” dos Santos said. “We want to implement governance rules similar to the international standards.”

Angola, which relies on oil exports for 95 percent of its foreign exchange, is often cited by anti-bribery campaigners as one of the world’s most corrupt countries. President dos Santos has said he has a “zero tolerance” approach to graft.

Isabel dos Santos also said she was looking into the possibility of developing a domestic oil refinery to reduce Angola’s need to import nearly all its diesel and gasoline – about 6 million cubic metres a year, according to national statistics.

Asked about job cuts at one of the country’s largest employers, she said only that she would be looking into ways of lowering production costs.

Nepotism Concerns

Foreign oil firms have welcomed Isabel’s appointment, brushing aside concerns about explicitly political motives.

“The government has acted. It is clear the direction they want to go. I am always optimistic. I certainly support the direction Sonangol is taking,” Chevron’s managing director for Angola, John Baltz, said last week.

However, one senior Johannesburg-based banker said the appointment could make it more difficult for international banks to do business with Sonangol, given the perception of nepotism it creates.

“From a compliance point of view, it’s going to make it harder,” the banker said.

President dos Santos’s mild, inscrutable public demeanor belies his tight control of the former Portuguese colony, where he has overseen an oil-backed economic and construction boom in the wake of a devastating 27-year civil war that ended in 2002.

However, the collapse in oil prices has hit the economy hard, sending the kwanza to record lows against the dollar, pegging back growth to around 3 percent and forcing the government to seek IMF assistance.

 

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Aker Solutions wins order for umbilicals at Egypt’s Zohr offshore gas field

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Aker Solutions won a contract to deliver its longest-ever umbilicals system at the Zohr offshore gas field in the Egyptian part of the Mediterranean Sea.

The agreement with Petrobel in Egypt is worth more than NOK 1 billion and will be booked in the second quarter. It stipulates the delivery of 180 kilometers of steel tube umbilicals that will connect the Zohr subsea development to an offshore control platform. Petrobel, a joint venture between The Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (EGPC) and Eni, is responsible for the development and operations at Zohr.

“Aker Solutions is building on its previous experience offshore Egypt to now deliver its largest-ever umbilicals project,” said Luis Araujo, chief executive officer of Aker Solutions. “We are very pleased to support Petrobel and Egypt on this important development.”

The work will be led by Aker Solutions’ subsea division in Oslo and manufacturing will start immediately at the umbilicals plant in Moss, Norway.

The company has invested substantially in the Moss facility over the past years. The plant has more than 20 years of experience in making the most advanced and complex umbilical systems, which are used to transport data, power and liquids between oil and gas installations on the seafloor and facilities onshore or on platforms.

The umbilicals system will be delivered by mid-April 2017.

 

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COLUMN-Oil market is back in balance: Kemp

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(John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

* Chart 1: tmsnrt.rs/25JCRCQ

* Chart 2: tmsnrt.rs/1VJVnIo

* Chart 3: tmsnrt.rs/1VJVmnN

By John Kemp

LONDON, June 7 Global oil markets seem to have moved back into balance thanks to strong growth in fuel consumption and a series of large supply disruptions in major crude producing nations.

Motorists’ soaring consumption of cheap gasoline in the United States as well as in some large emerging economies, including India and Mexico, will help boost global oil demand by more than 1.4 million barrels per day in 2016.

Consumption had already risen by 1.8 million bpd in 2015 and is predicted to increase by well over 1.0 million bpd again next year, marking the strongest and most sustained increase in demand since before the financial crisis.

On the supply side, U.S. oil production is expected to fall by 700,000 bpd between 2015 and 2016 as lower prices curb onshore shale drilling.

And a lengthening list of supply disruptions from Libya, Nigeria, Venezuela and Canada among others has grown to more than 3 million bpd.

While stocks of crude and fuels remain unusually high following heavy oversupply in 2014 and 2015 they are no longer increasing.

The shift from oversupply to market balance is evident in the relationship between nearby and deferred futures prices.

The link between timespreads, consumption, production and inventories has been established since the 1930s and is closely watched by traders.

In general, periods of oversupply and increasing inventories are associated with a contango in futures prices, where the price for nearby contracts is lower than for those maturing later.

Excess demand and falling stocks are normally associated with backwardation, the opposite condition, where the price for nearby contracts is higher than for deferred dates.

Over the past 30 years, shifts in the market balance from oversupply to excess demand have normally been heralded by a change from contango to backwardation and vice versa (tmsnrt.rs/25JCRCQ).

In the last six months, the degree of contango in both Brent and WTI futures has shrunk significantly, consistent with signs of strong demand and faltering supply (tmsnrt.rs/1VJVnIo).

Both futures markets continue to trade in a small contango but that is consistent with a market very close to balance.

Since 2005, the “normal” condition in the crude oil market has been a small contango (between 1985 and 2004 the typical condition was a small backwardation and the reason for the shift is controversial).

Between 2005 and 2014, the first and seventh WTI contracts traded in contango more than 70 percent of the time (reversing the previous tendency to trade in backwardation more than 70 percent of the time).

The current contango in WTI prices at around $2.00 per barrel is not significantly different from the average contango of $1.50 per barrel between 2005 and 2014 (tmsnrt.rs/1VJVmnN).

The current Brent contango at around $1.70 per barrel for the first six months is not far from the decade average of $0.73.

The risks to the supply-demand-price outlook now appear reasonably balanced which is being reflected in both spot prices and the timespreads.

On the supply side, crude production could surprise on the upside in the next 12 months if some of the current disruptions are resolved.

If Nigeria’s government can restore security in the delta, more than 0.5 million bpd of extra supply could return to market relatively quickly (“Militant attacks have cut Nigerian oil output by half a million bpd”, Reuters, Jun 6).

U.S. shale production could also stabilise and start to rise again if oil prices remain at or above the $50 per barrel level.

The number of rigs drilling for oil and gas in the United States rose last week for the first time in nine months, probably in response to the recent rise in prices.

But the bigger risk in the medium term comes from demand, which is now growing much faster than new sources of supply.

Investment in oil exploration and production have been slashed in response to the collapse in prices since the middle of 2014.

As the cycle turns, however, significant increases in investment will be needed to replace declining output from existing oil fields and meet the continued growth in consumption, which may require a further price increase.

By 2018, assuming the global economy avoid recession, higher prices will be needed to restrain super-fast growth in demand and incentivise quicker growth in supply. (Editing by William Hardy)

UK Oil, Gas Firms Plan Further Cost Cuts

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Almost half (43 percent) of UK oil and gas firms are planning further cost cuts to help manage the impact of the industry downturn, according to the fifth annual Bank of Scotland report on the oil and gas industry.

The Re-evaluating Strategies report gathered views from across the industry, including its supply chain, and found that nearly a third (32 percent) of businesses plan to cut more jobs this year as the oil price takes longer to recover than expected. As many as 53 percent of companies surveyed believe that maintaining a highly skilled workforce will be the biggest cost challenge they will face in the North Sea over the next 12-24 months.

Of the 141 companies questioned, more than half (58 percent) have had to introduce efficiency measures or cut costs over the last year. For just over half (51 percent) of all respondents, this has involved making redundancies. Firms in Scotland felt the brunt of the losses most severely with six in ten (63 percent) businesses reducing their workforce. This compares to an average of 42 percent across firms surveyed in England and Wales.

These cuts also appear to be having a reputational impact, according to the study, making the industry less attractive to potential talent. Two-fifths (41 percent) of respondents worry young people will not see the sector as a viable career option, creating a skills gap that is further exacerbated by the cyclical nature of the industry.

The report revealed a cutback in international expansion intentions too, with just over two thirds of firms (67 percent) stating that they are looking at international opportunities, which is down on 91 percent last year. This is largely driven by a considerable drop in interest in North America, says the study, traditionally the favourite investment area for UK firms.

Despite the slump in oil prices over a fifth (22 percent) of businesses are still looking at North Sea expansion opportunities. This is being entirely driven by smaller and mid-sized companies who find it easier to diversify and embrace new technology, according to the report. None of the larger firms surveyed planned any North Sea growth. A quarter of the firms (25 percent) surveyed also said they had grown through the downturn through diversifying into new sectors and investing in new technology.

Coping Through the Downturn in the North Sea

The five most popular strategies being implemented in order to meet the cost challenges in the North Sea are; making day-to-day operational efficiencies (67 percent), rationalizing supply chains (66 percent), adopting new technology (63 percent), followed by adopting new processes (60 percent) and product development (55 percent).

Four in ten businesses began to diversify their operations (40 percent) last year and this is set to continue in 2016, according to the study. However, plans have changed since last year’s oil and gas report. Interest in onshore shale gas has dropped, with a third of companies (31 percent) giving it a high priority compared to half (47 percent) last year. Smaller firms have maintained their interest in renewables work (2015: 37 percent, 2016: 37 percent) and the appetite of mid-sized companies in this area has grown significantly, from 46 percent in 2015 to 57 percent in 2016. Large, global operators (57 percent) see decommissioning as a major diversification opportunity.

No Price Recovery Until 2018

A third (33 percent) of operators said exploration and development activity will remain subdued until oil prices recover. Asked when they expect oil prices to recover, a third of respondents (33 percent) stated that it would be 2018 before the price of Brent crude oil reaches $75-80 per barrel. Four in ten (38 percent) believed the rise would happen no sooner than 2020. Large companies were especially conservative, with six in ten (58 percent) betting on 2020, and five percent on 2022 or later.

“The decline in the price of oil has made headlines around the world, and its knock-on impact on investment and employment has created economic headwinds that are being felt, not just by the industry but across the wider economy,” said Stuart White, area director, commercial banking, Bank of Scotland, in a statement that was sent to Rigzone.

“With oil prices currently hovering around the $50 mark there is hope that prices have bottomed out and have begun to slowly and modestly recover. Many businesses however, undoubtedly face more difficult decisions on cost savings, jobs and investment,” he added.

“While the blow from depressed oil prices has been severe for many businesses and individuals impacted by job losses, the sector is proving itself to be among one of the most resilient industries in the UK. There are still choppy waters to navigate, but we remain committed to supporting our clients within the sector,” White concluded.

“The UK faces the dual challenges of the low oil price and declining investment,” said Stephen Halliday, group president of Wood Mackenzie, Verisk Maplecroft and 3E Company, in a statement on Oil & Gas UK’s website.

“Progress has been made in making the sector more attractive, particularly with lower tax and a new regulator. However, action needs to be taken to ensure that we optimize investment returns and make use of existing infrastructure. Costs have been coming down, but the industry needs to see more collaboration, standardization and exploration in order to maximize the value of the UK North Sea,” he added.

 

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Mermaid secures additional subsea contract awards in the Asian region

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Strategy to expand the geographical reach of its essential subsea services to more markets bears fruit. Contract wins now include India and South Korea.

Mermaid Maritime Public Company Limited (“Mermaid” or “Company”) is pleased to announce that Mermaid’s subsidiaries, Seascape Surveys Pte. Ltd. and PT Seascape Surveys Indonesia (collectively referred to as “Seascape Group”), have recently been awarded six (6) different subsea works in the Asian region with an estimated aggregate contract value of USD 15 million.

The various work scopes include subsea survey, inspection, repair and maintenance using saturation diving, air diving and the use of underwater Remotely Operated Vehicles (“ROVs”). The jobs will be performed in various offshore areas of South Korea and India, and in various regions of Indonesia such as the Natuna Sea, Bali, North Sea, Makassar Strait and the Java Sea. These projects have an individual working duration ranging from 20 days to 90 days. Most of them will be completed by November 2016.

Financial Effects

Assuming that the contracts had commenced and had been completed within the most recent financial year (the Company’s last financial year ended 31 December 2015), the performance by the Company of the contracts would have had a nonmaterial effect on the earnings per share of the Company (on a consolidated basis) and a non-material effect on the net tangible assets per share of the Company (on a consolidated basis) for that financial year.

Interest of Directors and Controlling Shareholders

None of the directors or controlling shareholders of the Company has any interest,  direct, or indirect, in the contracts. There are also no new directors proposed to be appointed to the Company in connection with the contracts.

 

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Minister: Saudi Aramco Could Import Gas To Boost Use In Energy Mix

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Saudi Aramco could invest in importing gas into the kingdom, but the priority would be on finding new sources of gas domestically through exploration, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said on Tuesday.

Even though it is the world’s largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia has struggled to keep pace with domestic gas demand in recent years as increased use from industry and power generation put pressure on supplies.

“Gas makes up 50 percent of our energy mix now and we aspire to raise this to 70 percent from all sources, be it local or, if it is possible, from a source to import from at a competitive price,” Khalid al-Falih told a news conference announcing the kingdom’s National Transformation Plan.

Falih, who is also Aramco’s chairman, indicated earlier this month that the energy giant would be interested in investing in international upstream opportunities, particularly in gas.

While Aramco has several overseas joint ventures in the refining and petrochemical sectors with foreign oil companies, it has not pursued similar deals in upstream initiatives.

 

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Nigerian militant group urges others not to attack soldiers or kidnap people

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A militant group that has claimed responsibility for several attacks on Nigeria’s oil infrastructure urged other groups on Saturday not to attack soldiers or kidnap people.

The Niger Delta Avengers militant group, which says its attacks have not killed anyone, also urged a group that said it has anti-aircraft missiles not to target any aircraft.

The recent spate of attacks in the Niger Delta, which is Nigeria’s oil producing hub, have driven the OPEC member’s crude output to a more than 20-year low and prompted President Muhammadu Buhari to send troops to the region.

The Delta is the source of most of the oil that provides 70 percent of national income. The Avengers group wants more of that wealth to be directed to the poor swampland region.

But “the war is on oil installations,” it said in a statement which referred to “the daily emergence of new groups” and added: “Avengers will deal with any group that refuses and attacks military (personnel).”

The statement, entitled “Message to Our Brothers in the Struggle”, added: “The high command is calling on all groups in Rivers, Ondo, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, and Akwa Ibom to not indulge in any act of kidnapping and attacking of soldiers.”

The Avengers have claimed responsibility for most of the latest attacks, most recently three on Friday, but the insurgency is splintered into factions, with each group listing their demands. It is not clear whether the Avengers wield influence over other groups.

They have said they aim to cut Nigeria’s oil production to zero. The oil minister said on Thursday that output was 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd), down from around 2 million bpd at the start of the year.

Even if the most recent attacks, which included facilities belonging to Chevron under its Escravos grade, took out all exports of the oil linked to them, June production would remain near 1.2 million bpd.

(Reporting by Tife Owolabi; Writing by Alexis Akwagyiram; Editing by Ruth Pitchford)

 

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Falih Charm Offensive Slowly Wins Back OPEC For Saudis

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Russian oil billionaire Vagit Alekperov isn’t easily swayed, but Saudi Arabia’s new Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih achieved it this week.

Intense diplomacy by the soft-spoken Falih at his first OPEC meeting – with his speech peppered by words such as “gentle approach”, “no shocks” and “consensus” – has persuaded Alekperov that OPEC is more alive than dead.

“The fact that OPEC agreed on its new management shows they want to regain their coordinating role. The cartel will perform market management again,” Alekperov, chief executive of Russian energy firm Lukoil, said after meeting Falih and Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh separately in Vienna.

On Thursday, OPEC could not agree to set a clear oil-output target as Iran refused to limit its own production.

But the meeting was relatively peaceful and free of the usual clashes between political rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran, with Falih promising not to flood the market and to listen to Tehran.

In a rare compromise, OPEC also decided unanimously to appoint Nigeria’s Mohammed Barkindo as its new secretary-general after years of friction over the issue. Oil prices stood flat at $50 a barrel on Friday, up 80 percent from their January lows.

Falih, who in April succeeded veteran Ali al-Naimi, was the first OPEC minister to arrive in Vienna.

He met most fellow colleagues on the sidelines, spent several hours with independent OPEC analysts and held a long news conference with reporters.

“If you want to call it (OPEC) a talking shop – I have no problem with that. But I think it’s going to do a lot more than talking. We are going to do coordination and cooperation … to achieve market objectives,” Falih said on Thursday.

DRIVERLESS CAR

The nature of Thursday’s meeting surprised many OPEC watchers, who have grown used to acrimonious gatherings.

Falih’s ultimate boss, Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, effectively scuppered plans to clinch a global production freeze in the Qatari capital of Doha in April.

Prince Mohammad said Riyadh would not agree to the deal, which would also have involved non-OPEC Russia, if Iran didn’t join in despite Tehran insisting it wants to regain market share after the lifting of international sanctions earlier this year.

“After Doha, oil markets were beginning to look like a driverless car. That needed to change,” said a source familiar with Saudi thinking.

 A non-Gulf OPEC source said Riyadh realised it needed OPEC unity because the group’s fight for market share against higher-cost producers, such as U.S. shale, was taking longer than expected when formulated in 2014.
“The Saudis trashed OPEC in Doha. But they realised they don’t want to throw away decades of OPEC history and decided to be more cooperative,” said Gary Ross, founder of U.S.-based Pira consultancy, who came to Vienna together with other OPEC watchers and analysts for meetings.
“The Saudis definitely decided to change tack after Doha as they were concerned that people were doubting the viability of OPEC. I think this softer approach will last,” said Amrita Sen, who also came to Vienna. Falih acknowledges that Riyadh realised it needs OPEC. “The markets can ultimately balance themselves but as we have seen, when we rely on markets alone it is extremely painful for everybody,” he said on Thursday.
“I think managing in the traditional way that we have tried in the past may never come again … We will not go with setting a price target for OPEC … But (we should be) coordinating strategies and trying to understand what each of us can and cannot do.”

US Crude Oil Exports Rose to Record 591,000 Bpd in April

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U.S. crude oil exports rose to a record 591,000 barrels per day in April compared with 508,000 bpd in March, foreign trade data from the U.S. Census Bureau showed on Friday.

Exports to Canada were 324,000 bpd, while exports to Curacao reached 90,000 bpd. Exports to Bahamas were 36,000 bpd. In total, exports were the highest on record since at least 1920, according to U.S. government data.

The record level of exports come some half a year after a decades-long ban on U.S. exports was lifted. Since then, a number of merchants traders, producers and even refiners have moved crude to Latin America, Europe and Asia, among other locations.

U.S. Census’ foreign trade oil data is published weeks earlier than closely watched U.S. Energy Information Administration trade figures. The EIA, which bases its numbers on the Census data, will release its monthly crude figures at the end of the month.

 

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Fugro to play key role in Norway’s coastal highway improvement programme

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The Norwegian Public Roads Administration (NPRA) has awarded Fugro a contract worth 111 million NOK for environmental measurements in connection with the planned Coastal Highway (Route E39) that will run from the South of Norway (Kristiansand), along the west coast and into central Norway (Trondheim). This is probably the largest contract of its kind to date in Norway.

The NPRA was commissioned by the Norwegian Government to conduct planning and studies into improving the standard of the E39, which currently includes 7 fjord crossings operated by ferries. The fjords vary in depth from 550 metres to 1,300 metres (Sognefjord) and are up to 4 kilometres wide.

The NPRA is looking at various options to replace the ferries, including suspension bridges, floating bridges, and submerged floating tunnels. Combinations of the three are also being considered, which will require a design for the wind, current and wave conditions.

The Fugro contract is related to three of the fjords – Sulafjord, Vartdalsfjord and Halsafjord – and entails measurements of onshore and offshore wind profiles, ocean surface waves, ocean internal waves (subsea), and ocean current profiles.

To provide wind profiling, several 80-100 meter tall wind masts will be situated onshore, and LiDAR-equipped metocean buoys will be deployed offshore.

A new method, involving the use of several LiDARs, will measure both wind speed profiles and turbulence above the fjords, providing better information about the wind forces on the roadway between bridge towers.

Fugro will conduct the measurement project with contributions from highly qualified suppliers in Norway, including R&D institutions.

The measurements will run continuously from the planning phase until the bridges are commissioned.

The agreement will run over a period of 12 years at 12 sites, starting with a measuring period of 4 years, with the possibility of two extensions of 4 years each. The contract price includes the first 8 years of the contract.

 

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